Last  night we engaged in a second meeting of our MB Cluster Task Force  investigating the SDUSD proposal to close two of our campuses:  CP and  PBMS.  We used this time to study many of the criteria evaluated by  SDUSD that supported their recommendation for school closure.  Some  members of the meeting and the community have wondered why I do not lead  with more optimism.  Some have wondered why I seem to acquiesce to the  proposal from SDUSD.
First, let me express that I have a long  term  view at SDUSD.  Aside from my long term residence in the community, I  have four children from preschool age to seventh grade.  I am looking at  a personal engagement in public education for another fourteen years  with four children.  Second, I have seen the budget decline for the last  half of a decade.  In the private sector and in the national economy, I  do not see an economic turn-around that will happen soon and as such I  only see the situation worsening.  If we deal with the situation at  SDUSD one year at a time, I believe we will head towards a situation of  declining resources crippling public education.  I believe we need to  revolutionize how public education is delivered in our community.  We  created this system, we need to change this system.  We cannot turn back  the clock to when we were children, we need to move forward from where  we are today in the conditions we have today with a different public  education environment than we have today.
To be specific about school closure, in order for my to fight for these campuses, I require two things:
1.  I need to feel that it is morally the right thing to do.
2.  I need to feel that I have a winning strategy.
Morality
Morally,  I am not clear that closing these campuses is wrong.  This relies  primarily on the financial situation at SDUSD.  If we had lots of money,  clearly there is no incentive to close the campuses.  The reason to  close the campuses is that this part of SDUSD is "robbing" another part  of SDUSD by keeping our campuses open.  
Take the  administrative  costs for example.  If it takes $300k to keep an elementary school open  and it serves 300 students, then this is akin to adding $1000/student  to the contribution you are making to that student's education.  The  average size of an elementary school in SDUSD is 500 students.  The  standard deviation is 180 students, putting approximately 70% of the  elementary schools between 320 - 680 students.  It is pretty clear that  BVT and CP are small.  They are smaller than the overwhelming majority  of the elementary schools.  Given the administrative burden at all these  campuses is not enormously different, one viewpoint is that our  students are being subsidized or receiving a significant benefit that an  overwhelming number of students in the district are not.  Who do you  think at SDUSD would argue that they like having a large elementary  school?  Probably none.  There are many that would be justifiable  jealous of the few  students at our campuses.  In light of the financial situation, morally  this does not seem defensible.
One argument made to keep these  campuses open is that they serve a community that would need to travel  much farther to receive a public education.  This does not seem morally  defensible either.  There are over 21,000 elementary school children  that live in neighborhoods that do not have enough space for their  residents.  No doubt all of these children need to travel as far as our  children would to go to a new school if CP or BVT were closed.   Therefore this does not seem like a morally defensible argument.
Strategy
Regardless  of the moral issues, there is strategy to consider.  From my viewpoint  here are several layers of strategy in order of more powerful to least  powerful:
A.  Use the criteria we are given and show that it was not assessed  correctly.
B.  Use the criteria and show that the recommendation was wrong.
C.  Show that it is morally reprehensible to close the schools.
D.  Show that the politicians will get thrown out of office if they close the school.
E.  Create an emotional outcry that creates an emotional response in the BoE.
F.   The financial situation is not as dire as portrayed by SDUSD and there  are other strategies that keep campuses open and enable SDUSD to keep  operating.
A.  So far, we have shown that the criteria seems to be assessed accurately.  This argument is nearly dead.
B.   It is true that the criteria does not seem to be applied correctly.   This appears our most powerful argument.  We do not agree that the  weight of each of the criteria is correct nor do  we agree that some of the criteria are meaningful.  This is a  relatively strong argument because it is based on our  community's input and there is no good rationale for how the criteria  were combined.
C.   I have yet to hear a good moral argument to keep our schools open in  the face of the financial situation.  Every school in every neighborhood  believes that they have good programs that will be destroyed if they  are moved to another campus.  The BoE cannot easily choose between  moving one program based upon a clear moral mandate.  I cannot either.   If we are to make this type of argument, we need to make it clearly in a  way that demonstrates that compared to other campuses, it would be a  moral crisis to close ours and morally acceptable to close others.  This  is tough considering we are not well equipped to pass moral judgment on  a school other than our own campuses.
D.  It is unlikely  we can create a voter revolt.  I would love to succeed for other  reasons, but I am not optimistic.  The only strategy that  seems convincing is a voter revolt that threatens to recall the  existing BoE in the next few months, not to wait until Nov 2012.   It seems likely that the BoE will act prior to Nov 2012.  However, it  seems unlikely that we can catalyze the voters in city of San Diego to recall the BoE if we do not get our way.
E.   An emotional outcry is the most effective strategy.  It is the most  often used in this district, from Title 1 to Special Education, to VAPA  have used demonstrations at the BoE meetings to advance their agenda.  I  am the wrong person to lead this emotional outcry.  The BoE has  responded strongly to community speakers, the number of people that  attend a BoE meeting, and how passionately they speak.  I will speak  passionately about how the BoE is choosing a teacher contract over our  schools.  I will speak  passionately about how our community feels the BoE is just going to  sell our school property to  the private sector and how that will destroy our community.  I do not  think either of those arguments will convince them to leave CP, BVT, or  PBMS open.  To create an emotional outcry, we need an emotional leader  for this effort and that needs to be somebody other than me.
F.   There are many that think that the financial situation is much better  than what SDUSD and the BoE portray.  I am not one of them.  I have seen  nothing credible from SDUSD that indicates that we are doing fine and  do not need to close campuses.  In general, I will believe the  administration on this issue unless I see another group that has  analyzed the situation and has come up with another conclusion or I see  that their assessment does not match my observations at the classroom  level.  
The simple "sniff test" is to add up the costs to  teach a classroom and SDUSD does not pass this test.  A teacher salary  tops somewhere around  $70k.  Assuming 30 students per classroom, this means $2.3k/student.   The total gross outlay to salaries (without benefits and pension) for  135,000 students in SDUSD is only $315 M.  Our SDUSD budget is $1800M  (see pp 36-37 of The Budget Book for SDUSD on http://mbcluster2010.blogspot.com/2011/10/sdusd-budget-book-20112012.html  ).  This seems like a very high overhead to pay.  As you likely know,  overhead rates (GA + OH) in the private sector for large companies  create a salary multiplier of 2X-3X.  The numbers at SDUSD indicate  5.7X.  This seems to indicate that it costs a lot more to deliver  education to students than just the teachers' salary from benefits to  additional people.  Why does it take  so much more money than the actual teacher?  I do not fully understand  the answer to this question.  However, benefits are over 25% of the  entire budget of SDUSD.  Is this mostly pension?  Classified salaries  (non teachers) are over 15% of the budget, while Certificated salaries  (whether in the classroom or not?) are  over 45% of the budget.
There is something huge  about the overall budget that I do not understand.  I am willing to  speak passionately on this issue.  I just think that making this  argument to the BoE will not result in saving our schools.  They feel  that they have already reviewed the budget thoroughly.
The root  cause of our problems is that the obligations (contracts and legal  requirements) for SDUSD have outpaced the revenue that taxpayers are  willing to pay (e.g. Prop 13 and property tax surcharge).  The  infrastructure we have created, that 5.7X multiplier on top of what  every teacher takes home in a paycheck, creates an enormous burden.  The  reason I am so passionate about breaking up the district is because we  need a smaller community to deal with these problems.  Clearly we can't  deal with them on the state level (e.g. Prop 13 is popular and the  lottery was supposed to provide us money and  does  not).  We do not seem headed towards success as the second largest  district in the State of California.   Potentially a smaller district will be able to change its obligations  (renegotiate the contract), reduce the overhead (fewer layers of  administration), and be able to assess local taxes to pay for education  (like Mello-Roos?).
Where do we go from here?  I think the only strategy for convincing the BoE is (B).  We need to go to our meeting with SDUSD and  tell them that their criteria make no sense and that under other  criteria, different schools should close.  I am not particularly optimistic because I expect every other cluster to fight just as hard to keep their sites open.
I am willing to tell them  about (F) as well and express that I am sorely disappointed in how much  more it takes to run the district outside of really paying teacher  take-home pay, but I doubt it will be effective. 
Brian Catanzaro
MB Cluster Chair
 
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